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Momentos de aprendizado do Spotify
Confira uma seleção de artigos, podcasts e relatórios que enriqueceram nossa perspectiva ao longo da semana.
Reflexões sobre valuations de mercado, produtividade e escassez
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A Anthropic acabou de matar o software?
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O principal produto de IA da Microsoft está enfrentando grandes problemas
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A grande desagregação do SaaS
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Relatórios Trimestrais
4º Tri de 2025
Em 2025, nosso fundo entregou um retorno de 18.10% em dólares. A marca de quatro anos da nossa equipe de gestão, com um alpha...
3º Tri de 2025
Neste relatório, analisamos a relação entre o avanço dos veículos autônomos (AVs) e a indústria de seguros. O estudo questiona a percepção atual do...
2º Tri de 2025
Nosso objetivo é identificar e investir em empresas excepcionais, lideradas por gestores competentes e íntegros. A Inditex, controladora da Zara e de outras marcas,...
1º Tri de 2025
Em mais de 20 anos investindo globalmente, não lembramos de períodos de uma promessa de estabilidade duradoura que se estendesse além de algumas semanas....
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Aleatórias
“Success in investing doesn’t correlate with IQ… what you need is the temperament to control the urges that get other people into trouble in investing.”
— Warren Buffett
“I think people have a duty when they rise high in life to be exemplars. A guy who rises high in the Army or becomes a Supreme Court justice is expected to be an exemplar, so why shouldn’t a guy who rises high in a big corporation act as an exemplar and not take every last penny?”
— Charlie Munger
“Confidence in a forecast rises with the amount of information that goes into it. But the accuracy of the forecast stays the same. And when it comes to forecasting – as opposed to doing something – a lot of expertise is no better than a little expertise. And may ever be worse. The consolation prize is pretty consoling, actually. It’s that you can be a successful investor without being a perpetual forecaster. Not only that, I can tell you from personal experience that one of the most liberating experiences you can have is to be asked to go over your firm’s economic outlook and to say, ‘We don’t have one’.”
— Dean Williams
“The most important thing in our business is intellectual honesty. What I mean is four different things: know what you know, know what you don’t know, know what you don’t have to know, and realize that there is always a possibility that ‘you don’t know that you don’t know.”
— Li Lu
“In real life things fluctuate between pretty good and not so hot, but in investors’ mind they go from flawless to hopeless.”
— Howard Marks
“The only way to become good at something is to practice the ordinary basics for an uncommon length of time. Most people get bored. They want excitement. They want something to talk about and no one talks about the boring basics (…) Boredom encourages you to stop doing what you know works and do something that might work.”
- Farnam Street
“No amount of sophistication is going to allay the fact that all your knowledge is about the past and all your decisions are about the future”
- Ian H. Wilson (former GE executive)
“You start with a company that builds a box and they probably dress it up to look like a life-changing world-altering protocol that’s gonna replace all the big banks in 38 days or whatever. Maybe for now actually ignore what it does or pretend it does literally nothing. It’s just a box.”
- Sam Bankman-Fried on cryptocurrencies
“Ultimately, with a really hot new thing, investors can adopt what I call ‘a lottery ticket mentality’. If a successful startup in a hot field can return 200x, it’s mathematically worth investing in even if it’s only 1% likely to succeed. And what doesn’t have a 1% likelihood of success? When investors think this way, there are few limits on what they’ll support or the prices they’ll pay.”
- Howard Marks
“It’s easy, and it’s seductive, to assume that data is really knowledge. Or that information is, indeed, wisdom. Or that knowledge can exist without data. And how easy, and how effortlessly, one can parade and disguise itself as another. And how quickly we can forget that wisdom without knowledge, wisdom without any data, is just a hunch.”
— Toni Morrison
“You don’t have to do exceptional things to get exceptional results.”
- Warren Buffett
“All experts are experts on what was. There is no expert on what will be. To become an expert on the future, vision must replace experience”
- Davib Ben Gurion
“In 58 years, our satisfactory results have been the product of about a dozen truly good decisions – that would be about one every five years.”
- Warren Buffett
“I have a friend who’s a fisherman. He says ‘I have a simple rule for success in fishing. Fish where the fish are.’ You want to fish where the bargains are. That simple. If the fishing is really lousy where you are you should probably look for another place to fish.”
- Charlie Munger
“I sell engines, and the car I throw in for free.”
- Enzo Ferrari
“No one should be fooled into thinking security pricing is a dependable process that accurately follows a set of rules. Events are unpredictable; they can be altered by unpredictable influences; and investors’ reactions to the events that occur are unpredictable. Due to the presence of so much uncertainty, most investors are unable to improve their results by focusing on the short term.”
- Howard Marks
“The need for certainty is the greatest disease the mind faces. It’s what causes us to overlook that the world is not one big spreadsheet whose outputs can be computed.”
- Robert Greene
“We have 2 ears, 2 eyes and 1 mouth, so the input/output ratio should be 4 to 1.”
- Benedetto Vigna, CEO of Ferrari
“If you are tempted to gamble in the stock market, especially using Berkshire’s stock as the vehicle, simply picture Charlie Munger with a look of mild disapproval and slight amusement, slowly shaking his head. I think that’s a useful mental model!”
- Rational Walk
“I put two children through Harvard by trading options. Unfortunately, they were my broker’s children.”
- Jason Zweig
“I’ve never seen anyone with less friction between thought and action.”
- Todd Combs on Charlie Munger
“I find the short-term recommendations of analysts or banks extremely presumptuous and often very inaccurate.”
- Bernard Arnault
“Develop into a lifelong self-learner through voracious reading; cultivate curiosity and strive to become a little wiser every day.”
- Charlie Munger
“You shouldn’t expect to make money without bearing risk, but you shouldn’t expect to make money just for taking risk. You have to sacrifice certainty, but it has to be done skillfully and intelligently, and with emotion under control.”
- Howard Marks
“The higher your margin of safety, the smaller your edge needs to be to have a favorable outcome.”
- Morgan Housel
“I’m struck that most of the discussion of artificial intelligence that I encounter involves thinking about how I can do tasks I recognise, better. And my guess is that when the history of this is written several decades from now, a large part of it will involve tasks of which we currently can’t conceive.”
- Larry Summers
“People try to do all sorts of clever and difficult things to improve life instead of doing the simplest, easiest thing.”
- Tolstoy
“The age of celebration of technology for technology’s sake is over.”
- Satya Nadella
“If you don’t make mistakes you can’t make decisions.”
— Warren Buffet
“Good investing requires a weird combination of patience and aggression. And not many people have it.”
— Charlie Munger
“Patiently building a list of quality, predictable companies, even among large cap stocks, is likely to be a productive exercise as eventually, something on that watchlist will reach a low price that is in fact undervalued, offering high returns from that level going forward.”
— John Huber
“We have three baskets for investing: yes, no, and too tough to understand.”
— Charlie Munger
“Equities can compound in value in a way that investments in other asset classes, such as bonds and real estate, cannot. The reason for this is quite simple: companies retain a portion of the profits they generate to re-invest in the business.”
— Terry Smith
“There are two hedges I know of; one is cash and the other is knowledge.”
— Bruce Berkowitz
“The function of economic forecasting is to make astrology look respectable.”
— John Kenneth Galbraith
“The essence of investment management is the management of risks, not the management of returns.”
— Benjamin Graham
“I think I’ve been in the top 5% of my age cohort all my life in understanding the power of incentives, and all my life I’ve underestimated it. And never a year passes but I get some surprise that pushes my limit a little farther.”
— Charlie Munger
“Patience; an attribute that forms the foundations of one of the most enduring edges in all of markets; an edge whose moat is only widening as time horizons continue to shorten and the speed of information continues to quicken. In fact, the advantage of patience is inversely correlated to the advantage of information; the weaker that info edge becomes, the stronger the edge that relies on time horizon becomes.”
— John Huber
“One of the best rules anybody can learn about investing is to do nothing, absolutely nothing, unless there is something to do.”
— James Rogers
“You don’t want to be a no emotion person in all of your life, but you definitely want to be a no emotion person in making an investment or business decision.”
— Warren Buffet
“The idea that the future is unpredictable is undermined every day by the ease with which the past is explained.”
— Daniel Kahneman
“It takes character to sit with all that cash and to do nothing. I didn’t get to be where I am by going after mediocre opportunities.”
- Charlie Munger
“I find it much easier to find four or five investments where I have a pretty reasonable chance of being right that they’re way above average. I’m way more comfortable owning two or three stocks which I think I know something about and where I think I have an advantage.”
- Charlie Munger
“People calculate too much and think too little.”
- Charlie Munger
“A great philosopher said ‘A man never steps into the same river twice, the man is different and so is the river when he goes in the second time.’ That’s the trouble with economics. It’s not like physics. The same damn recipe done a different time gets a different result.”
- Charlie Munger
“Go to bed smarter than when you woke up.”
- Charlie Munger
“If you’re dead wrong on a long, you can lose 100%. If you’re dead wrong on a short, you can lose 10 times your money. When I was at Soros, I shorted 200 million worth of internet stocks in March of 99, and in three weeks covered them at a 600 million loss. I lost $600 million on a 200 million investment in three weeks. I was short 12 stocks. They all went bankrupt. Every one of them.”
— Stanley Druckenmiller
“If it’s your [profession], diversification doesn’t make sense. It’s crazy to put money in your twentieth choice rather than your first choice… Charlie and I operated mostly with five positions. If I were running $50, $100, $200 million, I would have 80 percent in five positions, with 25 percent for the largest.”
— Warren Buffett
“It ain’t what you don’t know that gets you into trouble. It’s what you know for sure that just ain’t so.”
— Mark Twain
“We have to invest in the world we live in, and not the world we want.”
— Charlie Munger
“Chance only favors the prepared mind.”
— Louis Pasteur
“A genius is a man who can do the average thing when everyone else around him is losing his mind.”
— Napoleão Bonaparte
“The essence of strategy is what you choose not to do.”
— Michael Porter
“Supernormal results are usually achieved through the combination of multiple forces working together. When you can be really patient and selective, you have the luxury of waiting for that confluence of multiple forces.”
— Norbert Lou, Punch Card Capital
“The difference between successful people and really successful people is that really successful people say no to almost everything.”
— Warren Buffett
“A origem do risco é você não saber o que está fazendo.”
- Warren Buffett
“I can’t change the direction of the wind, but I can adjust my sails to always reach my destination.”
- Jimmy Dean, singer, actor and businessman
“E os que foram vistos dançando foram julgados insanos pelos que não conseguiam ouvir a música.”
– Friedrich Nietzsche
“A resposta está em geral na história inteira, e não apenas numa parte dela.”
– Jim Harrison
“É impossível começar a aprender aquilo que se pensa que já se sabe.”
– Epictetus
“Estou sempre procurando saber o que não sei fazer a fim de aprender como fazê-lo.”
– Pablo Picasso
“É melhor estar mais ou menos correto do que exatamente errado.”
– John Maynard Keynes
“O homem que não lê bons livros não tem vantagem sobre aquele que não os pode ler.”
- Mark Twain
“A liquidez é um covarde que some ao primeiro sinal de encrenca.”
- Ray Devoe
“A chave para se ganhar dinheiro com ações é não se amedrontar a ponto de livrar-se delas.”
- Peter Lynch
“100% das informações que temos sobre qualquer empresa ou qualquer investimento refletem o passado. 100% do valor de tal investimento depende do futuro. A verdadeira questão é como dados passados se conectam com o futuro.”
- Bill Miller
“Every time you see the word EBITDA, you should substitute [for] the words ‘bullshit earnings’.”
- Charlie Munger
“If options aren’t a form of compensation, what are they? If compensation isn’t an expense, what is it? And if expenses should not go into the calculation of earnings, where in the world should they go?”
— Warren Buffett
“Google is the 800-pound gorilla in search, I want people to know that we made them dance.”
- Satya Nadella
“In effect, accounting principles offer management a choice: pay employees in one form and count the cost, or pay them in another form and ignore the cost.”
- Warren Buffett
“Good boards don’t create good companies, but a bad board will kill a company every time”
— Fred Destin
“It’s good to learn from your mistakes. It’s better to learn from other people’s mistakes.”
— Warren Buffett
“If you don’t know who you are, the stock market is an expensive place to find out.”
— George Goodman
“It’s frightening to think that you might not know something, but more frightening to think that, by and large, the world is run by people who have faith that they know exactly what’s going on.”
— Amos Tversky
“Forecasts create the mirage that the future is knowable.”
— Peter Bernstein
“When writing about transcendental issues, be transcendentally clear.”
- René Descartes
“Extinction is the rule. Survival is the exception.”
- Carl Sagan
“Faça como um velho marinheiro, que durante o nevoeiro leva o barco devagar”
- Paulinho da Viola
“In no way do we think that Berkshire shares should be repurchased at simply any price. I emphasize that point because American CEOs have an embarrassing record of devoting more company funds to repurchases when prices have risen than when they have tanked. Our approach is exactly the reverse”
— Warren Buffett, Berkshire Hathaway 2020 Letter
“The greatest enemy of knowledge is not ignorance, it is the illusion of knowledge.”
— Daniel J. Boorstin
“If you wait at a bus stop long enough, you’re guaranteed to catch a bus, but if you run from bus stop to bus stop, you may never catch a bus”
— Howard Marks
“It’s not supposed to be easy. Anyone who finds it easy is stupid.”
— Charlie Munger
“Opportunities come infrequently. When it rains gold, put out the bucket, not the thimble.”
- Warren Buffett
“Capitalism without bankruptcy is like Christianity without hell.”
- Frank Borman
“Only buy something that you’d be perfectly happy to hold if the market shut down for 10 years.”
- Warren Buffett
“We distinguish ourselves as investors by what we do when our strategy is not in great favour. Every strategy goes in and out of favor and this is the time to be resourceful, and yet, maintain our standards”
- Howard Marks
“Beware of false knowledge; it is more dangerous than ignorance”
- George Bernard Shaw
“Free education is abundant, all over the Internet. It’s the desire to learn that’s scarce.”
- Naval Ravikant, Co-founder of AngelList
“You’ve worked for me for 10 years and I still don’t know if you are a good investor.”
- Marc Rowan, CEO Apollo Global
“Comfort is the enemy of progress.”
- P.T. Barnum
“Discipline is just choosing between what you want now and what you need most.”
- Abraham Lincoln
“You can’t succeed without surviving. One of my favorite adages is: ‘don’t forget the man who was 6 feet tall but drowned crossing a stream that was 5 feet deep on average’. The concept of survival on average is irrelevant, you have to survive everyday.”
- Howard Marks
“Paciência também é uma forma de ação.”
— Auguste Rodin
“Eu acredito na sorte: de que outra forma você pode explicar o sucesso daqueles de que você não gosta?”
— Jean Cocteau
“Nenhum exército pode resistir à força de uma ideia cujo tempo chegou.”
— Victor Hugo
“Things that have never happened before happen all the time.”
— Morgan Housel
“The world is full of obvious things nobody by any chance ever observes.”
— Sherlock Holmes
“When writing about transcendental issues, be transcendentally clear.”
— René Descartes
“It’s harder to be number one and easier to chase number one”
— Jean Pierson, former CEO of Airbus
“If we have data, let’s look at data. If all we have are opinions, let’s go with mine.”
— Jim Barksdale, former CEO of Netscape
“In God we trust; all others must bring data.”
— W. Edwards Deming
“Half the money I spend on advertising is wasted; the trouble is I don’t know which half.”
— John Wanamaker
Fundos NEXTEP
NEXTEP Global Equities Long Only FIF Ações - IE RL
| Data | Cota | Rentabilidade | Dia | Mês | Ano | 12 meses | 60 meses |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-02-11 | R$ 618.57121632 | em R$ | -1.38% | -2.15% | -8.31% | -3.73% | 41.43% |
| em US$ | -0.96% | -0.73% | -2.83% | 7.09% | 47.15% |
